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PSI
> Publications
> Climate change and fuel poverty
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Climate change and fuel povertyAuthors: Simon Dresner and Paul Ekins
SummaryThe research examined the possible effects of rapid climate change on fuel poverty (needing to spend more than 10% of income to maintain a satisfactory level of warmth and other energy services in the home). One particular concern was the prospect that there might be a shutting off of the Gulf Stream, which warms Britain and the rest of north-western Europe. Computer simulations of the climate indicate that shutting down the Gulf Stream would cool England by about 3°C. Climate is not the only variable that will affect future levels of fuel poverty. The other main ones are what will happen to the energy efficiency of the building stock, to incomes and to energy prices. The aim of the project was to examine what might happen to each of these four dimensions and construct three scenarios in each dimension (most likely, high and low) to capture the range of variation in possible outcomes. A total of 81 (3x3x3x3) scenarios were modelled and analysed. Since any changes in the climate system take decades to play out, but it is extremely difficult to predict social, economic and technological changes even 25 years in the future, it was decided to set an objective for this research of looking forward to 2030. Research Discussion Paper 24
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NewsNewham mayor to deliver memorial lecture [added 07/09/2010] New report examines unpaid domestic work in the EU [added 03/08/2010] New PSI report examines financial and employment needs of social housing tenants [added 01/07/2010] Daylight saving: is it time for change? [added 11/05/2010] New PSI briefing on green fiscal reform [added 15/06/2010] Back to ‘the future’: assessing Britain in 2010 [added 12/05/2010] Concerns expressed about support for people who need more help in Provider-led Pathways to Work [added 23/02/2010] More support needed for low-skilled workers to progress into better jobs [added 09/02/2010] |
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Address: Policy Studies Institute, 50 Hanson Street, London, W1W 6UP
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