Building Economic and Social Information for Examining the Effects of Climate Change (BESEECH)

Funded by: Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)

Duration:

April 2004 to January 2006

PSI researchers:


Background, summary and aims

Background and Aims

This project addresses the capacity of systems in the building sector to adapt to climate change, making use of the concept of adaptive capacity, which has been developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Adaptive capacity is emerging as a key concept facilitating the understanding of how human systems may respond to climate change, and (together with exposure and sensitivity) can be viewed as a key determinant of the vulnerability of a system. The work will be carried out alongside other EPSRC projects within the "Building Knowledge for a Changing Climate" (BKCC) portfolio.

The main objectives for the project are:

  • to develop novel means of assessing the capacity and willingness of individuals and organisations in the building sector to adapt to climate change;
  • to expand and further interpret, both quantitatively and qualitatively, the four socio-economic scenarios developed under the UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP);
  • to synthesise the socio-economic elements of the BKCC programme.

Project Design

The project comprises four distinct (but linked) components.

  1. The attributes and behaviours of individuals and organisations in the building sector will be identified, and associated with the eight factors that have been identified by the IPCC as key determinants of adaptive capacity. This will allow an assessment to be made of how these may evolve under each of the UKCIP scenarios.
  2. The qualitative "storyline" associated with each scenario will be further developed in terms of the eight factors determining adaptive capacity. This will provide a consistent framework within which project specific storylines can be developed for individual stakeholder groups.
  3. The quantitative indicators associated with each scenario will be refined and extended. Projections will be provided for the twelve NUTS-1 regions of the UK for population (by sex / age group), household numbers, gross value added (by sector), and household expenditure. In addition, projections will be made for the case study areas used by other BKCC projects.
  4. The final integration phase of the project will seek to identify and describe cross-project linkages. The conceptual framework for characterising adaptive capacity will be used to provide a common template for integrating findings across projects.

Importance of Research

By strengthening the integrating framework for the BKCC cluster, this project will enhance the relevance of the findings of all of the component projects to the UKCIP, and to government departments and agencies concerned with planning for climate change. In addition, the insights provided by the research into the ability and willingness of individuals and organisations to adapt their patterns of behaviour, together with the methodological innovations, will benefit future programmes of work on climate impacts and adaptation.

Outcomes


Related datasets (Excel format)

All datasets (Zip archive of Excel files)

Global Responsibility

Gross value added
Households
Population (UK)
Population (England)

Local Stewardship

Gross value added
Households
Population (UK)
Population (England)

National Enterprise

Gross value added
Households
Population (UK)
Population (England)

World Markets

Gross value added
Households
Population (UK)
Population (England)