Early Identification

Funded by: Department for Work and Pensions

Duration:

January 2003 to July 2003

PSI researchers:


Background, summary and aims

Background and Aims

The Department for Work and Pensions wish to devise a way of identifying those most at risk of long-term benefit reliance early on in their claim.  The aim is to assess the feasibility of introducing a screening process.

Project Design

The project uses multivariate statistical techniques to predict benefit outcomes for clients as they enter the benefit system.  We use data from the ONE evaluation for three client groups: the sick and disabled, lone parents, and jobseekers.

Importance of Research

If successful, the study would devise techniques for early identification of those most at risk of long-term benefit reliance and, through the use of appropriate ‘profiling’ techniques, it  would enable caseworkers to allocate resources efficiently, increasing the likelihood that those who would otherwise be most at risk of long-term claiming receive appropriate assistance.