Funded by: Department for Work and Pensions
January 2003 to July 2003
Background, summary and aims
Background and Aims
The Department for Work and Pensions wish to devise a way of identifying those most at risk of long-term benefit reliance early on in their claim. The aim is to assess the feasibility of introducing a screening process.
The project uses multivariate statistical techniques to predict benefit outcomes for clients as they enter the benefit system. We use data from the ONE evaluation for three client groups: the sick and disabled, lone parents, and jobseekers.
Importance of Research
If successful, the study would devise techniques for early identification of those most at risk of long-term benefit reliance and, through the use of appropriate ‘profiling’ techniques, it would enable caseworkers to allocate resources efficiently, increasing the likelihood that those who would otherwise be most at risk of long-term claiming receive appropriate assistance.