Westminster Applied Evaluation Workshop

A series of seminars organised by Policy Studies Institute and
the Centre for Employment Research

session three: Thursday 8 July 2010, 4.30pm - 6.00pm
*note revised start time*

Policy discontinuity and duration outcomes:
re-assessing the New Deal for Young People

Dr Monica Costa-Dias (University of Porto and Institute for Fiscal Studies)

Abstract

A comparison of hazard rates of duration outcomes before and after policy changes is hampered by non-identification if there is unobserved heterogeneity in the effects and no model structure is imposed. We develop a discontinuity approach that overcomes this by exploiting variation in the moment at which different cohorts are exposed to the policy change, i.e. by considering spells crossing the policy change.

We prove identification of average treatment effects on hazard rates without model structure. We estimate these effects by local linear kernel hazard regression. We use the introduction of the NDYP program for young unemployed individuals to estimate average program participation effects on the exit rate to work.

Paper:

See the accompanying paper here.

Venue:

GS 4 (The Boardroom), 1 Horse Guards Road, London, SW1A 2BQ

Map:

Google Maps

Further information

Please contact Stefan Speckesser.